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Publications

Publications that connect evidence, models, and policy questions.
Pardee publications examine long-term change across development, climate, conflict, diplomacy, and geopolitical influence. Using data, integrated models, scenario-based analysis, and transparent methods, our researchers study questions that rarely fit within one sector, country, or time horizon.

The collection includes peer-reviewed articles, reports, briefs, commentary, model documentation, and other research outputs designed for both scholarship and policy use. Researchers can examine methods, evidence, and assumptions, while policy and practitioner communities can use the analysis to compare risks, test scenarios, and understand how choices may unfold across systems and time.

Use this page to search Pardee publications by keyword, topic, author, document type, research focus, region, country, sponsor, and date.

June 11, 2026

What America's demographic future means for Africa and Europe

Collin Meisel. (2026, June 11). What America's demographic future means for Africa and Europe. Megatrends Afrika Spotlight No. 71. https://www.megatrends-afrika.de/en/publication/mta-spotlight-71-us-demographic-decline-could-reshape-the-global-balance-of-power Demographic shifts in the United States could reshape its relationships […]

May 11, 2026

What happens when the US population peaks?

Meisel, C. (2026, May 11). What happens when the US population peaks? The Hill. https://thehill.com/opinion/immigration/5868017-shrinking-us-population-trends/ In a new opinion piece for The Hill, Collin Meisel, director of analysis at the […]

April 12, 2026

Qatar’s Mediation Diplomacy Strength: An Analysis of Reactions to Israel’s September 2025 Attack

Keisuke Minai. (2026, April 12). Qatar's mediation diplomacy strength: An analysis of reactions to Israel's September 2025 attack. The SAIS Review of International Affairs. https://saisreview.sais.jhu.edu/qatars-mediation-diplomacy-strength-an-analysis-of-reactions-to-israels-september-2025-attack/ Keisuke Minai used the Formal […]

March 16, 2026

Climate change modelling and international relations: in pursuit of an integrated, long-term research agenda

Moyer, Jonathan D., & Meisel, Collin J. (2026, March 16). “Climate change modelling and international relations: in pursuit of an integrated, long-term research agenda” in Handbook on the Geopolitics of […]

November 28, 2025

Papal Travels Reflect Changing Catholic Diplomacy

Chognot, J.-P. (2025, November 28). Papal travels reflect changing catholic diplomacy. Barrons. https://www.barrons.com/news/papal-travels-reflect-changing-catholic-diplomacy-ba4ed27f?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=awetsqf7k-jdeapnln-mjpiypsj7qcqzgshykxv4fr_eix5lb8m00gfm5z2cst2tomm%3d&gaa_ts=695c1151&gaa_sig=qwk6i9s6r6i2gp46bqzhwtalquci_nzqsup6ly1_3ajil14ej8rt77rvn3zanozwrzicigkxskc5prwgcydwxa%3d%3d&utm_source=&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=&utm_content=read+the+article%26nbsp%3bhere&utm_id=40403667 Agence France-Presse highlighted the Pardee Institute’s Country and Organization Leader Travel (COLT) data in a widely syndicated […]

September 9, 2025

We tracked every overseas trip by world leaders since the end of the Cold War – here’s what we found

McKee, K., & Meisel, C. (2025). We tracked every overseas trip by world leaders since the end of the Cold War – here’s what we found. The Conversation. https://doi.org/10.64628/aai.5xf7pq6p5 

August 21, 2025

Right-sizing Africa’s “China challenge”

Meisel, C. (2025, August 21). Right-sizing Africa’s “China challenge”. ISS African Futures. https://futures.issafrica.org/blog/2025/Right-sizing-Africas-China-challenge

June 24, 2025

Russia Futures

Burrows, M., Meisel, C., & Chalikyan, N. (2025). Russia Futures. The Stimson Center. For decades, Western experts have viewed Russia as a declining power citing a lack of population growth, […]

April 16, 2025

Why Russia Isn’t Doomed

Burrows, M., Meisel, C. (2025, April 16). Why Russia Isn’t Doomed. The National Interest. https://nationalinterest.org/feature/why-russia-isnt-doomed   ‌

March 17, 2025

When heads of government and state (HOGS) fly: Introducing the country and organizational leader travel (COLT) dataset measuring foreign travel by HOGS

Moyer, J., Meisel, C., Szymanski-Burgos, A., Scott, A., Casiraghi, M., Kurkul, A., Hughes, M., Kettlun, W., McKee, K., Matthews, A., (2025, March 17). When heads of government and state (HOGS) […]

January 13, 2025

From Myanmar to Gaza, Ukraine to Sudan – 2024 was another grim year, according to our mass atrocity index

Meisel, C. (2025, January 13). From Myanmar to Gaza, Ukraine to Sudan – 2024 was another grim year, according to our mass atrocity index. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/from-myanmar-to-gaza-ukraine-to-sudan-2024-was-another-grim-year-accord

December 12, 2024

In Syria, be careful what you wish for

Meisel, C. (2024, December 12). In Syria, be careful what you wish for. Modern War Institute. https://mwi.westpoint.edu/in-syria-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/

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