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Publications

Publications that connect evidence, models, and policy questions.
Pardee publications examine long-term change across development, climate, conflict, diplomacy, and geopolitical influence. Using data, integrated models, scenario-based analysis, and transparent methods, our researchers study questions that rarely fit within one sector, country, or time horizon.

The collection includes peer-reviewed articles, reports, briefs, commentary, model documentation, and other research outputs designed for both scholarship and policy use. Researchers can examine methods, evidence, and assumptions, while policy and practitioner communities can use the analysis to compare risks, test scenarios, and understand how choices may unfold across systems and time.

Use this page to search Pardee publications by keyword, topic, author, document type, research focus, region, country, sponsor, and date.

June 1, 2026

International Futures: Exploring and Shaping

Hughes, B. B. (2026). International Futures: Exploring and Shaping. London Academic Press, An Imprint Of Elsevier. eBook ISBN: 978-3-032-22084-4 ISBN: 978-3-032-22083-7 Pardee Institute founding Director, Barry Hughes, has published the fifth […]

November 11, 2025

IFs Energy Model Documentation

Hughes, B. B., Solórzano, J., & Rothman, D. S., Irfan, R. I., Sahadevan, D. (2025, November 11). IFs energy model documentation. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of […]

August 27, 2025

Pardee 2024-2025 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Institute for International Futures, 2024-2025. The International Futures (IFs) forecasting system is central to much of the Pardee Institute’s work, constantly helping us to understand, […]

February 26, 2025

International Futures (IFs) Country Groupings

Kwasi, S., Stone, B., Nawar, S. (2025, February 26). "International Futures (IFs) Country Groupings." Working paper 2025.02.26. Pardee Institute for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, […]

December 20, 2024

Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures model

Solórzano, J., Hughes, B., Irfan, M., Xiong, Y., Kwasi, S., Ibrahim, A., Makhamatova, S., Hanna, T., Moyer, J. (2024, December 20). Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures […]

November 5, 2024

Pardee 2023-2024 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Institute for International Futures, 2023-2024. The International Futures (IFs) forecasting system is central to much of the Pardee Institute’s work, constantly helping us to understand, […]

June 6, 2024

Guide to scenario analysis in International Futures (IFs)

Turner, S., Neill, C., Hughes, B.B., Narayan, K. (2024, June 6). Guide to scenario analysis in International Futures (IFs). Frederick S. Pardee Institute for International Futures. The purpose of this […]

November 5, 2023

Pardee 2022-2023 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Institute for International Futures, 2022-2023. The International Futures (IFs) forecasting system is central to much of the Pardee Institute’s work, constantly helping us to understand, […]

November 5, 2022

Pardee 2021-2022 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Center for International Futures, 2021-2022. The International Futures (IFs) forecasting system is central to much of the Pardee Center’s work, constantly helping us to understand, […]

October 10, 2021

Pardee 2020-2021 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Center for International Futures, 2020-2021 The International Futures (IFs) forecasting system is central to much of the Pardee Center’s work, constantly helping us to understand, […]

February 25, 2021

Enhancing integrated analysis of national and global goal pursuit by endogenizing economic productivity

Hughes BB, Narayan K (2021) Enhancing integrated analysis of national and global goal pursuit by endogenizing economic productivity. PLoS ONE 16(2): e0246797. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0246797

October 1, 2020

Pardee 2019-2020 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Center for International Futures A decade has passed since the release of the first two volumes in the Center’s Patterns of Potential Human Progress (PPHP) […]

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