Model Documentation

The major components of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system are extensively documented in working papers, and documentation of any given component is updated at intervals to reflect additions and refinements as well as connections to other system components. Because of its evolving nature, it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing model documentation.

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May 08, 2023

Failures in the “Deterrence Failure” Dialogue

Journal Article | Collin Meisel

Collin's latest commentary in War on the Rocks was just published May 8, 2023. Meisel argues that focusing only on the deterrence failures in Ukraine at the expense of deterrence successes in Europe muddies conversations about deterrence and risks drawing

February 02, 2023

“Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty”

Journal Article

Using IFs to better understand conflict and development dynamics

November 03, 2022

Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development - Report 2

Reports & Briefs

Verhagen, W., Meziere, M. E., Bohl, D. K., Howe, B., Moyer J. M. (2022). "Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development. Report 2: The Cost of Not Going Green."

May 10, 2022

Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image

Journal Article

This journal article presents a new multidimensional measure of relative national capabilities and forecasts using the International Futures model across 29 alternative scenarios.

April 01, 2022

The Impact of COVID-19 on the Reduction of Child Stunting Over the Next Two Decades

Reports & Briefs | Willem Verhagen

Verhagen, W. (2022) "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Reduction of Child Stunting Over the Next Two Decades." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of International Studies. Denver: Report for USAID.

April 01, 2022

Unpacking the Impacts of COVID-19 on Long-Term Food Security

Reports & Briefs | Willem Verhagen

Verhagen, W. (2022) "Unpacking the Impacts of COVID-19 on Long-Term Food Security." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of International Studies. Denver: Report for USAID.

March 23, 2022

Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development - Report 1

Reports & Briefs

Verhagen, W., Pereira, C. C., Bohl, D. K., Meziere, M. E., Irfan, M. T., Moyer J. M. (2022). "Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development. Report 1: Economic and human development trends to 2040."