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The Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures

This project resulted in two publications, "Power and Influence in a Globalized World" and "Our World Transformed: Geopolitical Shocks and Risks."

Power and Influence in a Globalized World: Diplometrics aims to enhance understanding of world politics by gathering, creating, and curating quantitative data on a wide range of state interactions and develop new insights about relations between states and the other subnational, transnational, and supranational actors that constitute the global system. Unlike many traditional quantitative international relations projects, Diplometrics is not aimed at a single research question or puzzle—such as on the onset of great power war or state failure—but rather supports the data-driven exploration of a wide range of interdisciplinary topics of interest to policymakers and academics.

Our World Transformed: Geopolitical Shocks and Risks: Zurich Insurance Group and the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security are engaged in a multi-year thought leadership effort to quantify aggregated global risks. In 2015, we used an extensive quantitative model pioneered by the University of Denver’s Pardee Center for International Futures to explore the economic bene ts and costs of cyber risks; in 2016, we continued to use this unique model, focusing on demographic risks. In this report, we focus on geopolitical risks. This report is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council and its donors do not determine, nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s conclusions.