The Pardee Center engaged in a year-long collaborative planning process between March 2019 and March 2020 to set strategic directions for the Center. We are honored to share with you our strategic goals for the five year period from 2020-2025.

Read the document here.

The Frederick S Pardee Center for International Futures and the African Union Development Agency joinly release their most recent work, "Conditions for Success in the Implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement."

Read the report in English.

Read the report in French.

Read the Reference Report in English.

Center Research Associate Austin Matthews published an analysis article in the Washington Post's blog, The Monkey Cage, titled "What happens to Kazakhstan's dictatorship now that its dictator has quit?" The article applies academic literature on leadership transitions within authoritarian regimes to the ongoing situation in Kazakhstan, following the resignation of 30-year dictator Nursultan Nazarbayev. Austin argues that the regime will likely survive this transition because of formal institutions put in place by the previous leader.

Pardee Center Research Associate Collin Meisel and Director Jonathan D. Moyer published a blog post, “Preparing for China’s Rapid Rise and Decline,” in War on the Rocks. The piece notes that while China’s rise is, at this point, glaringly apparent, forecasts using the Pardee Center's International Futures tool suggest that the same is true of China’s subsequent decline. The authors argue that preparation for this reality must begin now so tomorrow’s strategists may reap the benefits that strategists managing China’s rise lack today.

Our Annual Review highlights projects, transitions and accomplishments of the academic year. This issue celebrates 40 years of IFs with a retrospective by our founder Barry Hughes. Director Jonathan D. Moyer’s annual letter considers the future of our center as we continue to grow and become a more formal institution.

Project Manager Whitney Doran and Research Associate II Andrew Scott presented on the Diplometrics project in DU Professor Keith Gehring’s undergraduate International Futures course. They introduced the goals of the Diplometrics Project and showed students where they can access the Pardee Center’s public Diplometrics datasets and visualization platforms.

Sustainable Development Goals Report: Moldova 2030 is a report researched and written by the Pardee Institute's Andrew C. Scott, David K. Bohl, Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer and Barry B. Hughes, invited by the United Nations Development Programme (Bureau for Policy Programme Support). In consultation with the UN Country and Regional Offices, the report uses IFs to examine development trends, scenarios of possible interventions, and potential longterm outcomes towards achieving the SDGs. The goal of the report is to steer collective efforts toward achievement of the SDGs in Moldova.

The Pardee Center is seeking applicants for a Project Manager position. The Project Manager is responsible for coordinating, tracking and delivering high-quality, timely research products in the Diplometrics project. The Diplometrics project at the Pardee Center focuses on building databases, constructing tools and performing analysis focused on international relations theory.

For more information and to apply, please visit the University of Denver jobs website: https://goo.gl/nkgJBz

In September 2016, Dale Rothman stepped down from his formal role as Senior Scientist for the Pardee Institute to pursue other research interests and focus on his position as an Associate Professor with the Korbel School. He will continue to work with the Pardee Institute on specific projects as a Faculty Affiliate. In the 2015-2016 academic year, Rothman took a sabbatical for travel and research. He presented in many countries regarding his work with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), systems thinking, integrated modeling, and the International Futures model.

Dale Rothman’s presentations included:

• 2 October 2015: “Enhancing The Socioeconomic Representation of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)”, presentation at the CANSEE and USSEE 2015 Joint Biennial Conference, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

• 4 October 2015: "Current & Future Representation Of Fisheries In The International Futures System”, presentation at the CANSEE and USSEE 2015 Joint Biennial Conference, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

• 17 November 2015: “Enhancing The Socioeconomic Representation of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)”, presentation at the IAMC Conference, Potsdam, Germany.

• 4 February 2016: “The Pros and Cons of Working with a Large-scale Integrated Model”, research seminar, Institute for Environmental Systems Research, University of Osnabrück, Osnabrück, Germany.

• 24 February 2016: “The Pros and Cons of Working with a Large-scale Integrated Model”, presentation at Institute of Economic Structures Research, Osnabrück, Germany.

• 11 April 2016: “The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)”, presentation at the Global-Local Caribbean Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Scenarios (GoLoCarSce) - Climate Change Scenario Development Workshop, University of the West Indies, St. Augustine, Trinidad & Tobago.

• 14 April 2016: “The Pros and Cons of Working with a Large-scale Integrated Model”, presentation to the Stockholm Environment Institute – US and Fletcher School of Global Diplomacy, Sommerville, MA.

• 16 May 2016: “Large-scale Integrated Modeling with International Futures”, presentation at the workshop of the Modeling of Sustainable Economic Systems (MOSES) consortium, Linköping, Sweden.

• 10 June 2016: “Large-scale Integrated Modeling with a focus on the International Futures System (IFs)”, presentation to Sustainability: An Introductory Course, Institute for Environmental Systems Research, University of Osnabrück, Osnabrück, Germany.

The Pardee Institute 2015-16 Annual Review takes a look at projects, transitions and accomplishments of the 2015-16 academic year. Highlights include improvements in the International Futures (IFs) model, the development of a new cloud-based data aggregation tool, and expansion of the historical data in our Diplometrics dashboard. Research highlights last year included exploration of the relationship between demographics and risk, an investigation into severe acute malnutrition and cost of treatment, modeling of future costs associated with cyber security, and integrated approaches to reducing hunger in Africa. These and other projects seek to better understand the world we live in and to help organizations around the world think about their impact on the human condition in broader, more integrated ways.