Rafa, Mickey, Singumbe Muyeba, Jonathan Moyer, and Taylor Hanna. 2021.

"The future of Zambian poverty to 2060: assessing national and sub-national trends across scenarios." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO. Report for Chronic Poverty Advisory Network.

Hanna, Taylor, David K. Bohl, Mickey Rafa, and Jonathan D. Moyer. 2021.

"Assessing the Impact of Conflict on Development in North-East Nigeria." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO. Report for United Nations Development Programme.

Margolese-Malin, E., Moyer, J.D., Rafa, M., and Irfan, M.T. (2015). "Enterprising Cape: Building an Inclusive and Vibrant Economy."

FuturesCape Policy Brief 3 of 2015. Western Cape Government Policy and Strategy Chief Directorate and Strategic Initiatives Chief Directorate in collaboration with the African Futures Project. Western Cape Government, Cape Town, South Africa.

The Western Cape faces two interrelated sets of development challenges in its efforts to become a more cohesive high-income society and economy. The first is unequal access to basic services and economic opportunities. The second is an economic environment with inadequate technology, skills, and governance to enable it to move rapidly from middle-income to high-income status. This FuturesCape policy brief analyses these two sets of challenges and explores some of the outcomes of pursuing policies designed to address them – first in isolation and then in combination. It compares these outcomes with a Base Case, which is how the future might be if no significant changes were made to the Western Cape’s current mix of policy strategies. Under such a Base Case scenario, the Western Cape won’t reach high-income status until around 2040.

Moyer Jonathan D., David K. Bohl, Taylor Hanna, Brendan R. Mapes, and Mickey Rafa. 2019.

“Assessing the Impact of War on Development in Yemen”. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs. Denver: Report for UNDP (2019).

Moyer, J.D., Bohl, D.K., Hanna, T., Mapes, B.R. and Rafa, M. (2019).“Assessing the Impact of War on Development in Yemen”. Frederick S. Denver: Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs. UN Report.

Prior to the escalation of conflict in 2015, development in Yemen was strained. A country of 30 million people, Yemen ranked: (a) 153rd on the Human Development Index (HDI); (b) 138th in extreme poverty; (c) 147th in life expectancy; (d) 172nd in educational attainment; and, (e) was in the World Bank low-middle income category. Projections suggest that Yemen would not have achieved any of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 even in the absence of conflict.

Wang, X., Rafa, M., Moyer, J.D., Li, J., Scheer, J., and Sutton, P. 2019. "Estimation and Mapping of Sub-National GDP in Uganda Using NPP-VIIRS Imagery." Remote Sensing 11(2): 163. doi: 10.3390/rs11020163

Rafa, Mickey, Jonathan Moyer, Xuantong Wang, and Paul Sutton. 2018.

"Using Nightlights for Poverty Analysis in Uganda." Invited Policy Brief for USAID. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Sutton, Paul, Xuantong Wang, Mickey Rafa, Jonathan Moyer. 2018.

“Using Nighttime Imagery to Estimate Gross Domestic Product at Sub-national Levels in Africa." Abstract presented at the Proceedings of the American Association of Geographers Annual Meeting, Denver, CO, April 10-14.

Kaplan, Oliver, Jonathan D. Moyer, Mickey Rafa. 2018. “Introducing the Human Trafficking Index Dataset." Paper presented at the International Studies Association Annual Convention, San Francisco, CA, April 4-7.

Rafa, Mickey, Elizabeth Bremer, and Jonathan Moyer. 2018.

“The Future of Survival through Primary Education in Southwest Uganda”. Invited Policy Brief for USAID. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.