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Joshi, Devin K., Barry B. Hughes, and Timothy D. Sisk. 2015. “Improving Governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario Forecasting the Next 50 Years.” World Development 70: 286–302.

Hughes, Barry B., Jonathan D. Moyer, and Timothy D. Sisk. 2011. “Vulnerability to Intrastate Conflict: Evaluating Quantitative Measures.” Peaceworks No. 72. United States Institute of Peace, Washington, DC.

Hughes, B.B., Joshi, D.K., Moyer, J.D., Sisk, T.D., Solorzano, J.R. (2014). Strengthening governance globally: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 5). Routledge.

The final volume in the PPHP series, Strengthening Governance Globally, focuses on long-term transitions in the character of country-level governance around the world. Questions that it addresses include:

Additional Resources:

Base Case End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Base Case End Tables

Alternate Scenario 1 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Global Challenges

Alternate Scenario 2 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Global Challenges Plus Strengthened Governance

Alternate Scenario 3 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Global Challenges Plus Strengthened Governance and Policies

Alternate Scenario 4 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Strengthened Governance and Policies

Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations

Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations

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