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Dickson, J.R., Hughes, B.B., Irfan, M.T. (2010). Advancing global education: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 2). Routledge.
Use the 'Access Resource' link to view just the Education Normative Scenario for this volume. To access the full volume, visit the full volume's resource page.
Additional Resources (All PPHP Volumes):
Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations
Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations
Dickson, J.R., Hughes, B.B., Irfan, M.T. (2010). Advancing global education: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 2). Routledge.
Use the 'Access Resource' link to view just the Base Case Tables for this volume. To access the full volume, visit the full volume's resource page.
Additional Resources (All PPHP Volumes):
Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations
Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations
Hughes, B.H, Irfan, Mohammod, T., Khan, H., Kumar, K.B., Rothman, D.S. (2015). Reducing global poverty: Patterns of potential human progress volume 1. Routledge.
Use the 'Access Resource' link to view just the Alternate Scenario 2 End Tables Using IFs Version 7.02 for this volume. To access the full volume, visit the full volume's resource page.
Hughes, B.H, Irfan, Mohammod, T., Khan, H., Kumar, K.B., Rothman, D.S. (2015). Reducing global poverty: Patterns of potential human progress volume 1. Routledge.
Use the 'Access Resource' link to view just the Base Case Tables for this volume. To access the full volume, visit the full volume's resource page.
Hillebrand, Evan E. 2010. “Deglobalization Scenarios: Who Wins? Who Loses?” Global Economy Journal 36 (5). doi:10.2202/1524-5861.1611.
Hillebrand, E. E. (2010). Deglobalization Scenarios: Who Wins? Who Loses? : Global Economy Journal. Global Economy Journal, 10(2). http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/gej.2010.10.2/gej.2010.10.2.1611/gej.2010.10.2.1611.xml
The process of globalization is being harshly criticized for a variety of reasons, but mostly because the income of large and/or vocal segments of the population of this and other countries is threatened by the dislocation and competition of trade and investment and by the inability or unwillingness of states to compensate the losers. Based on analysis with the International Futures Model, this paper concludes that if globalization halts or recedes the results will be profoundly negative for most countries and most income groups. While a retreat into protectionism may improve income equality in some countries, it will reduce incomes of both the poor and the rich and poverty headcounts will be increased. In addition, political instability will rise in a majority of countries and the probability of interstate war will increase. These results suggest that it would be far better to deal with the negative aspects of globalization directly by improving trade adjustment assistance, providing more secure access to health care, and negotiating new international agreements that benefit all countries.
Hughes, B.B., Joshi, D.K., Moyer, J.D., Sisk, T.D., Solorzano, J.R. (2014). Strengthening governance globally: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 5). Routledge.
The final volume in the PPHP series, Strengthening Governance Globally, focuses on long-term transitions in the character of country-level governance around the world. Questions that it addresses include:
Additional Resources:
Base Case End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Base Case End Tables
Alternate Scenario 1 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Global Challenges
Alternate Scenario 2 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Global Challenges Plus Strengthened Governance
Alternate Scenario 3 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Global Challenges Plus Strengthened Governance and Policies
Alternate Scenario 4 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Strengthened Governance and Policies
Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations
Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations
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Hughes, Barry B. 2009. "Forecasting Long-Term Global Change: Introduction to International Futures (IFs)." Working paper 2009.12.28. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.
Hughes, B.B., Joshi, D.K., Moyer, J.D., Sisk, T.D., Solorzano, J.R. (2014). Strengthening governance globally: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 5). Routledge.
Use the 'Access Resource' link to view just the Base Case Tables for this volume. To access the full volume, visit the full volume's resource page.
Additional Resources (All PPHP Volumes):
Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations
Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations
Hughes, B.B., Joshi, D.K., Moyer, J.D., Sisk, T.D., Solorzano, J.R. (2014). Strengthening governance globally: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 5). Routledge.
Use the 'Access Resource' link to view just the Alternate Scenario 1 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2or this volume. To access the full volume, visit the full volume's resource page.
Additional Resources (All PPHP Volumes):
Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations
Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations
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