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Bohl, David K., Burrows, Matthew J., & Moyer, Jonathan D. (2017). Our World Transformed: Geopolitical Shocks and Risks. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO. Report for Zurich Insurance Group and Atlantic Council Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security.
Zurich Insurance Group and the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security are engaged in a multi-year thought leadership effort to quantify aggregated global risks. In 2015, we used an extensive quantitative model pioneered by the University of Denver’s Pardee Center for International Futures to explore the economic benefits and costs of cyber risks; in 2016, we continued to use this unique model, focusing on demographic risks. In this report, we focus on geopolitical risks. This report is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council and its donors do not determine, nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s conclusions.
ISBN: 978-1-61977-422-3
Annual Review 2015-2016
Hughes, Barry B., David Bohl, Mohammod Irfan, Eli Margolese-Malin, and José R. Solórzano. 2017.
"ICT/Cyber Benefits and Costs: Reconciling Competing Perspectives on the Current and Future Balance." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 115: 117-130. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.027
Full Citation: Hughes, B. B., & Hedden, S. (2016). IFs environment model documentation, Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver https://pardeewiki.du.edu/index.php?title=Environment
Bohl, David K., Barry B. Hughes, and Shelby Johnson. 2016.
"Understanding and Forecasting Demographic Risk and Benefits." Project Report to Zurich Insurance Group and the Atlantic Council. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.
Moyer, J. D., Eshbaugh, M., Rettig, J. Cost analysis of global road traffic death prevention: Forecasts to 2050. Dev Policy Rev. 2017;00:1–13. https://doi.org/10.1111/dpr.12263
Milante, Gary, Barry B. Hughes, and Alison Burt. 2016. “Poverty Eradication in Fragile Places: Prospects for Harvesting the Highest Hanging Fruit by 2030.” Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 5 (1): 1–24. doi:10.5334/sta.435.
Dickson, Janet R., Mohammod T. Irfan, and Barry B. Hughes. 2016. "USE 2030: Exploring Impacts, Costs, and Financing." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.
Hughes, Barry B., and Steve Hedden. 2016. "IFs Environment Model Documentation." Working paper 2016.03.21. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.
Kuhn, Randall, Dale S. Rothman, Sara Turner, José Solórzano, and Barry Hughes. 2016.
"Beyond Attributable Burden: Estimating the Avoidable Burden of Disease Associated with Household Air Pollution." PLoS ONE 11(3): e0149669. PLOS, San Franciso, California. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0149669
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