Hughes, Barry B., David Bohl, Mohammod Irfan, Eli Margolese-Malin, and José R. Solórzano. 2017.

"ICT/Cyber Benefits and Costs: Reconciling Competing Perspectives on the Current and Future Balance." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 115: 117-130. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.09.027

Bohl, David K., Barry B. Hughes, Mohammod T. Irfan, Eli S. Margolese-Malin, and José R. Solórzano. 2015.

“Cyber Benefits and Risks: Quantitatively Understanding and Forecasting the Balance.” Extended Project Report to Zurich Insurance Group and the Atlantic Council. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Hughes, Barry B., Randall Kuhn, Eli S. Margolese-Malin, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2015. “Opportunities and Challenges of a World with Negligible Senescence.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 99: 77–91.

Hughes, Barry B., Mohammod T. Irfan, Eli Margolese-Malin, Jonathan D. Moyer, Carey Neill, and José R. Solórzano. 2015.

"International Futures (IFs) Training Manual." Working paper 2015.04.02. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.

Bohl, David K., Barry B. Hughes, Mohammod T. Irfan, Eli S. Margolese-Malin, and José R. Solórzano. 2015.

“The Informal Economy in the IFs Model.” Final Report to CEPLAN. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Hughes, Barry B., Randall Kuhn, Eli S. Margolese-Malin, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2014.

“Opportunities and Challenges of a World with Negligible Senescence.” Final Report to the SENS Foundation. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

M.T., Hughes, B.B., Dale S. Rothman Margolese-Malin, E., Moyer, J.D. (2014). Building global infrastructure: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 4). Routledge.

Volume 4 in the PPHP series tells a story of possible futures for basic infrastructure (access to all-season roads, electricity, improved water and sanitation, and information and communication technologies) across the globe. Questions addressed by Building Global Infrastructure are:

• How much basic infrastructure is likely to be in place over the next 50 years?
• What will infrastructure access rates be in countries around the world?
• Are there aggressive but reasonable ways to accelerate the provision of basic infrastructure, taking into account the currently-different levels of infrastructure across countries and other country-specific circumstances?

Additional Resources:

Base Case End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Base Case End Tables

Alternate Scenario 1 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Infrastructure Good Performance 2050 Targets

Alternate Scenario 2 End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2
Infrastructure Universal 2050 Targets

Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations

Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations

Irfan, Mohammod T., and Eli S. Margolese-Malin. 2012.