O'Neill, Brian C. and Steve Hedden. 2018. "Xcel Energy carbon emissions targets and limiting warming to less than 2 degrees C." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver, Denver, CO.

Director of Research Brian O'Neill and former Pardee Center Lead System Administrator Steve Hedden published a report evaluating Xcel Energy's recently announced goals for carbon emissions reductions. Their findings, which are incorporated in Xcel Energy's own report outlining their goals, conclude that the company's aims of reducing emissions 80% by 2030 and delivering carbon-free electricity by 2050 are consistent with targets in the Paris Climate Agreement to limit warming to 2 degrees C or less.

Hedden, S. (2015). "Gridlocked: A long-term look at South Africa's electricity sector." Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver.

Electricity generation in South Africa is changing, but whether the electricity grid will be able to adapt to these changes is uncertain. This paper presents an alternative frame for the current electricity challenges by focusing on the electricity grid. Using the International Futures forecasting model, the African Futures Project has built three scenarios to 2050 to inform policymakers of the long-term implications of grid decisions. With coordinated planning, improved operational strategies and coherent policies, renewable energy can contribute significantly to the energy mix by 2050, help increase economic growth and benefit all South Africans. These interventions, however, will only be successful if there is a clear plan for the structure of the electricity sector.

Hedden, S., Moyer, J.D., and Rettig, J. (2013). “Fracking for Shale Gas in South Africa: Blessing or Curse?”

African Futures Paper No. 9. Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Pretoria, South Africa, and Denver, CO, USA.

South Africa is poised to move forward with shale gas development through hydraulic fracturing or "fracking," exploring what experts believe to be the eighth largest shale gas reserve in the world. For a country that currently is almost wholly dependent on coal production, shale gas development could be a game-changer. Yet, the possible environmental impacts could also be devastating. The International Futures model is used to explore both the possibilities and some of the risks of fracking for South Africa.

Bohl, David K., Taylor Hanna, Andrew C. Scott, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Steve G. Hedden. 2018.

Sustainable Development Goals Report: Egypt 2030. Denver, CO and New York, NY: Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures and United Nations Development Programme.

Moyer, Jonathan D., and Steve Hedden, 2018.

"A “Middle-of-the-Road” Projection of Human Development Using Shared Socio-Economic Pathway 2 in International Futures." Working paper September 2018. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.

Scott, Andrew C., David K. Bohl, Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Barry B. Hughes. 2017.

Sustainable Development Goals Report: Brazil  2030 is a report researched and written by the Pardee Center’s Andrew C. Scott, David K. Bohl, Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Barry B. Hughes, invited by the United Nations Development Programme (Bureau for Policy Programme Support). In consultation with the UN Country and Regional Offices, the report uses IFs to examine development trends and scenarios, to explore potential futures in Brazil for achieving the SDGs by 2030. Launched in 2015, the SDGs are a series of 17 global goals to reduce poverty, protect the environment, and ensure prosperity for all to 2030. The research will hopefully help steer collective efforts toward achievement of the SDGs in Brazil.

Scott, Andrew C., David K. Bohl, Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Barry B. Hughes. 2017.

Sustainable Development Goals Report: Moldova 2030 is a report researched and written by the Pardee Center’s Andrew C. Scott, David K. Bohl, Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Barry B. Hughes, invited by the United Nations Development Programme (Bureau for Policy Programme Support). In consultation with the UN Country and Regional Offices, the report uses IFs to examine development trends, scenarios of possible interventions, and potential long-term outcomes towards achieving the SDGs. The goal of the report is to steer collective efforts toward achievement of the SDGs in Moldova.

Bohl, David K., Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, Kanishka Narayan, and Andrew C. Scott. 2017.

"Development Trends Report for South Africa." Invited Research Paper for USAID. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Bohl, David K., Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, Kanishka Narayan, and Jessica Rettig. 2017.

"Development Trends Report for Southern Africa." Invited Research Paper for USAID. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Full Citation: Hughes, B. B., & Hedden, S. (2016). IFs environment model documentation, Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver https://pardeewiki.du.edu/index.php?title=Environment