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Full Citation: Mekonnen, S. M., Mbate, M., Osman-Elasha, B., Akol, C., Janneh, A et Al., (2022). 2022 Africa Sustainable Development Report. UNDP. https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2023-01/Africa%20Sustainable%20Development-Report_2
The Coronavirus pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and climate change have all hampered Africa’s efforts to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Halfway towards 2030, most African countries are struggling to meet most SDG targets. Without deliberate policies to accelerate progress towards the SDGs, by 2030, at least 492 million people will be left in extreme poverty and at least 350 million people by 2050.
The report evaluates Africa’s progress towards the SDGs and the objectives of the African Union’s Agenda 2063 in the context of the triple crises of COVID-19, climate change, and the war in Ukraine, which are all adversely impacting the continent’s performance on both agendas.
By: Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel & Austin S. Matthews (2023) Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image, Journal of Contemporary China, 32:140, 191-206, DOI: 10.1080/10670564.2022.2071879
In this article published in the Journal of Contemporary China, Assistant Professor and Pardee Center Director Dr. Jonathan Moyer, Pardee Center senior research associate Collin Meisel, and former Pardee Center research scientist Dr. Austin Matthews find that Chinese capabilities surpass the United States in 26 scenarios before 2060, with the most frequent period of power transition being the early 2040s. This analysis offers an opportunity for leaders to reconcile national images with reality, potentially reducing the risk of conflict associated with great power transition.
Moyer, Jonathan D., Collin J. Meisel, Austin S. Matthews, David K. Bohl, and Mathew J. Burrows. 2021.
"China-US Competition: Measuring Global Influence." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs. Report for Atlantic Council Scowcroft Center.
Beyond measuring US and Chinese influence capacity, the FBIC Index can be used to analyze changing influence capacity dynamics for more than 200 countries and between more than 20,000 country pairs from 1960 through 2020. Data include a summary measure of influence capacity as well as its primary components—bandwidth and dependence—and their political, economic, and security subcomponents.
2019. Guarrieri, Thomas R. and Collin J. Meisel. "Extremists and unconventional weapons: examining the pursuit of chemical and biological agents." Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression
Matthews, Austin S., Mathew J. Burrows, David K. Bohl, Taylor L. Hanna, Brendan R. Mapes, Collin J. Meisel, Jonathan D. Moyer, Kanishka Narayan, and Kumail Wasif. 2019.
“Forecasting Changing American Trade Scenarios and Relational Power Shifts Across Regions.” International Studies Association ISSS-IS Conference.
Authors: Austin S. Matthews, Mathew J. Burrows, David K. Bohl, Taylor L. Hanna, Brendan R. Mapes, Collin J. Meisel, Jonathan D. Moyer, Kanishka Narayan, and Kumail Wasif
Kaplan, Oliver, Jonathan D. Moyer, Mickey Rafa. 2018. “Introducing the Human Trafficking Index Dataset." Paper presented at the International Studies Association Annual Convention, San Francisco, CA, April 4-7.
Moyer, Jonathan D., Tim Sweijs, Mathew J. Burrows, and Hugo Van Manen. 2018.
"Power and Influence in a Globalized World." The Atlantic Council and Frederick Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.
Jonathan D. Moyer, Tim Sweijs, Matt Burrows and Hugo Van Manen, 2017.
"Appendix to Interdependence and Power in a Globalized World." Working paper December 2017. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.
Bohl, David K., Taylor L. Hanna, Brendan R. Mapes, Jonathan D. Moyer, Kanishka Narayan, and Kumail Wasif. 2017.
"Understanding and Forecasting Geopolitical Risks and Benefits." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO. Report for Zurich Insurance Group and Atlantic Council.
Bohl, David K., Burrows, Matthew J., & Moyer, Jonathan D. (2017). Our World Transformed: Geopolitical Shocks and Risks. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO. Report for Zurich Insurance Group and Atlantic Council Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security.
Zurich Insurance Group and the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security are engaged in a multi-year thought leadership effort to quantify aggregated global risks. In 2015, we used an extensive quantitative model pioneered by the University of Denver’s Pardee Center for International Futures to explore the economic benefits and costs of cyber risks; in 2016, we continued to use this unique model, focusing on demographic risks. In this report, we focus on geopolitical risks. This report is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council and its donors do not determine, nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s conclusions.
ISBN: 978-1-61977-422-3
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