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Margolese-Malin, E., Moyer, J.D., Rafa, M., and Irfan, M.T. (2015). "Enterprising Cape: Building an Inclusive and Vibrant Economy."

FuturesCape Policy Brief 3 of 2015. Western Cape Government Policy and Strategy Chief Directorate and Strategic Initiatives Chief Directorate in collaboration with the African Futures Project. Western Cape Government, Cape Town, South Africa.

The Western Cape faces two interrelated sets of development challenges in its efforts to become a more cohesive high-income society and economy. The first is unequal access to basic services and economic opportunities. The second is an economic environment with inadequate technology, skills, and governance to enable it to move rapidly from middle-income to high-income status. This FuturesCape policy brief analyses these two sets of challenges and explores some of the outcomes of pursuing policies designed to address them – first in isolation and then in combination. It compares these outcomes with a Base Case, which is how the future might be if no significant changes were made to the Western Cape’s current mix of policy strategies. Under such a Base Case scenario, the Western Cape won’t reach high-income status until around 2040.

Moyer, J.D., Bohl, D.K., Hanna, T., Mayaki, I. and Bwalya, M. (2018). Africa’s path to 2063: Choice in the face of great transformation.

Denver, CO and Midrand, Johannesburg: Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures and NEPAD Planning and Coordinating Agency

Africa’s Path to 2063: Choice in the Face of Great Transformation is a report researched and written by the Pardee Center’s Jonathan D. Moyer, David K. Bohl, and Taylor Hanna, in collaboration with Ibrahim Mayaki and Martin Bwalya from New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD), the technical arm of the African Union.

Invited by the African Union and launched in February 2019 at the 32nd African Union Summit and the 37th. Session of NEPAD Heads of State and Government Orientation Committee Meeting. the report uses IFs to take a long-term, macro, and integrated approach to thinking about four transformations already taking place in Africa: demography, human development and inequality, technology, and the environment. The analysis seeks to inform policy, investment, and development choices for Africa’s pursuit of Agenda 2063 and the United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goals.

ISBN-13: 978-1-7335865-0-4

Moyer, J.D., Bohl, D.K., Hanna, T., Mayaki, I. and Bwalya, M. (2018). Africa’s path to 2063: Choice in the face of great transformation. Denver, CO and Midrand, Johannesburg: Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures and NEPAD Planning and Coordinating Agency

Wang, X., Rafa, M., Moyer, J.D., Li, J., Scheer, J., and Sutton, P. 2019. "Estimation and Mapping of Sub-National GDP in Uganda Using NPP-VIIRS Imagery." Remote Sensing 11(2): 163. doi: 10.3390/rs11020163

Rafa, Mickey, Jonathan Moyer, Xuantong Wang, and Paul Sutton. 2018.

"Using Nightlights for Poverty Analysis in Uganda." Invited Policy Brief for USAID. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Sutton, Paul, Xuantong Wang, Mickey Rafa, Jonathan Moyer. 2018.

“Using Nighttime Imagery to Estimate Gross Domestic Product at Sub-national Levels in Africa." Abstract presented at the Proceedings of the American Association of Geographers Annual Meeting, Denver, CO, April 10-14.

Rafa, Mickey, Jonathan D. Moyer, Paul Sutton, and Xuantong Wang. 2017.

"Estimating District GDP in Uganda" Invited Research Paper for USAID. Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Denver, CO.

Porter, Alex, David Bohl, Stellah Kwasi, Zachary Donnenfeld, and Jakkie Cilliers. 2017.

"Prospects and Challenges: Mozambique’s Growth and Human Development Outlook to 2040." Developed by the Institute for Security Studies, Pretoria, South Africa, in collaboration with Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.

Milante, Gary, Barry B. Hughes, and Alison Burt. 2016. “Poverty Eradication in Fragile Places: Prospects for Harvesting the Highest Hanging Fruit by 2030.” Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 5 (1): 1–24. doi:10.5334/sta.435.

Cantore, Nicola, and Massimiliano Cali. 2015. “The Impact of Temporary Migration on Source Countries.” International Migration Review. doi:10.1111/imre.12178.

Burt, Alison, Barry B. Hughes, and Gary Milante. 2014.

“Eradicating Poverty in Fragile States: Prospects of Reaching the ‘High-Hanging’ Fruit by 2030.” Policy Research Working Paper No.7002. Fragile and Conflict-Affected Countries Group, World Bank, Washington, D.C.

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