Hughes, Barry B. 2009.

"Economic Futures and Their Implications for Global Development: The Unfolding of the Great Recession." Working paper 2009.08.03. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.

Cave, Jonathan., Constantijn van Oranje-Nassau, Helen Rebecca Schindler, Ala’a. Shehabi, Philipp-Bastian Brutscher, Neil. Robinson. 2009.

“Trends in Connectivity Technologies and their Socio-Economic Impacts.” Final Report of the Policy Options for the Ubiquitous Internet Society Study. RAND Europe, Cambridge, UK.

Eshbaugh, M., Firnhaber, E., McLennan, P., Moyer, J.D. and Torkelson, E. (2011). “Taps and Toilets: How Greater Access Can Radically Improve Africa’s Future.”

African Futures Brief No. 1. Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver. Pretoria, South Africa, and Denver, CO, USA.

The International Futures modeling system is used to explore the impact of sanitation and clean water on development in Africa through improvements in access to them. The paper explores a Base Case and alternate scenarios that reflect, respectively, enhanced rates of access and stagnating rates of access. Impacts on development are measured through infant mortality, communicable diseases, GDP, and state fragility. The analysis includes a preliminary cost-benefit analysis.

Kehl, Walter. 2008. “Biodiversity and Land Use in Central Asia.” Unpublished paper.

Irfan, Mohammod T. 2008. “A Global Education Transition: Computer Simulation of Alternative Paths to Universal Basic Education.” PhD dissertation, University of Denver.

United States National Intelligence Council (US NIC). 2008. Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World. Washington, DC: United States National Intelligence Council.

Hughes, Barry B., and Mohammod T. Irfan. 2008. “Assessing Strategies for Reducing Global Poverty.” In Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson, eds., North and South in the World Political Economy. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley-Blackwell, 313−340.

Authors: Barry B. Hughes and Mohammod T. Irfan

Jonathan D. Moyer and David K. Bohl, 2018.

"Three Paths for Achieving Sustainable Human Development: Assessing Trade-Offs." Working paper September 2018. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs, University of Denver, Denver, CO.

Dickson, Janet R., Mohammod T. Irfan, and Barry B. Hughes. 2007.

“Education and Human Development: Patterns of Potential Human Progress.” Paper presented at the Annual Conference of the Human Development and Capability Association (Ideas Changing History), New York, NY, September 18−20.

Peterson, Cecilia M., José R. Solórzano, and Barry B. Hughes. 2007.

“Enhancing Global Health: Patterns of Potential Human Progress.” Paper presented at the Annual Conference of the Human Development and Capability Association (Ideas Changing History), New York, NY, September 18−20.