Collin's latest commentary in War on the Rocks was just published May 8, 2023. Meisel argues that focusing only on the deterrence failures in Ukraine at the expense of deterrence successes in Europe muddies conversations about deterrence and risks drawing

Hughes, B. B., & Johnston, P. D. (2005). Sustainable futures: Policies for global development in a global knowledge society. Futures, 37(8), 813–831. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2005.01.017

Global sustainable development is the overarching challenge for social and economic policy today. The paper elaborates the concept of sustainable development, identifies some of the levers and policies that might help attain it, describes a modeling system used for analysis, and presents the results of evaluating the impacts of policies and an integrated scenario built upon them.

Hughes, Barry B. 2001. “Global Social Transformation: The Sweet Spot, the Steady Slog, and the Systemic Shift.” Economic Development and Cultural Change 49 (2): 423–458.

Hughes, Barry B. 2001. “Choices in the Face of Uncertainty: The International Futures (IFs) Model.” Futures 33 (1): 55–62.

Hughes, Barry B. 1999. “The International Futures (IFs) Modeling Project.” Simulation & Gaming 30 (3): 304–26.

Full Citation: Hughes, B. B. (1988). International futures (IFs): History and status. Social Science Computer Review, 6(1), 43–48. https://ssc.sagepub.com/content/6/1/43.full.pdf+html

The INTERNATIONAL FUTURES (IFS) global model was developed for education and theory building. There are two versions: a smaller one developed specifically for microcomputers and a larger one initially developed for mainframes but now being revised for micros. The model represents global demographic, agricultural, energy, and economic systems. Incorporation of domestic governmental processes and interstate behavior is foreseen. Keywords world modeling, global modeling, international futures, simulation, modeling.

Hughes, Barry B. 1997. “Rough Road Ahead: Global Transformations in the 21st Century.” Futures Research Quarterly 13 (2): 83–107.

Hughes, Barry B. 1988. “International Futures (IFs): History and Status.” Social Science Computer Review 6 (1): 43–48.

Hughes, Barry B. 1985. “World Models: The Bases of Difference.” International Studies Quarterly 29 (1): 77–101.