The Future is a Moving Target: Predicting Political Instability

Institutes and Centers: Frederick S. Pardee Institute for International Futures

Previous research by Goldstone et al. (2010) generated a highly accurate predictive model of state-level political instability... This article reassesses the model’s explanatory power and makes three related points.

Resource information

Date

September 13, 2024

Center

Frederick S. Pardee Institute for International Futures

Author

Hendrix, Cullen

Share this story:

Help support a global community working toward a more knowable future

Pardee’s open tools, research, and training resources support students, researchers, policymakers, and practitioners around the world. Your gift helps keep that work accessible and strengthens the public research infrastructure behind it.

Give to Pardee