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Publications

Publications that connect evidence, models, and policy questions.
Pardee publications examine long-term change across development, climate, conflict, diplomacy, and geopolitical influence. Using data, integrated models, scenario-based analysis, and transparent methods, our researchers study questions that rarely fit within one sector, country, or time horizon.

The collection includes peer-reviewed articles, reports, briefs, commentary, model documentation, and other research outputs designed for both scholarship and policy use. Researchers can examine methods, evidence, and assumptions, while policy and practitioner communities can use the analysis to compare risks, test scenarios, and understand how choices may unfold across systems and time.

Use this page to search Pardee publications by keyword, topic, author, document type, research focus, region, country, sponsor, and date.

June 11, 2026

What America's demographic future means for Africa and Europe

Demographic shifts in the United States could reshape its relationships with Africa and Europe over the coming decades. Using the International Futures (IFs) model developed by the Frederick S. Pardee […]

May 11, 2026

What happens when the US population peaks?

Meisel, C. (2026, May 11). What happens when the US population peaks? The Hill. https://thehill.com/opinion/immigration/5868017-shrinking-us-population-trends/ In a new opinion piece for The Hill, Collin Meisel, director of analysis at the […]

April 12, 2026

Qatar’s Mediation Diplomacy Strength: An Analysis of Reactions to Israel’s September 2025 Attack

Keisuke Minai used the Formal Bilateral Influence Capacity (FBIC) Index and Global Power Index (GPI) from the Pardee's Institute's Diplometrics research program to explore Qatar's use of mediation diplomacy following […]

March 23, 2026

The future of jobs in an era of demographic and technological transformation

Bennett, N., Bloom, D., de la Vega, R., Hanna, T., Lavopa, A., & Prettner, K. (2026, March 23). The future of jobs in an era of demographic and technological transformation. […]

March 16, 2026

Climate change modelling and international relations: in pursuit of an integrated, long-term research agenda

Moyer, Jonathan D., & Meisel, Collin J. (2026, March 16). “Climate change modelling and international relations: in pursuit of an integrated, long-term research agenda” in Handbook on the Geopolitics of […]

December 9, 2025

GEO-7 Report Calls for Urgent Action through Transformational Pathways

What is the real price tag of delaying climate and nature action by another year—or another decade?  The United Nations Environment Programme’s 7th Global Environment Outlook (GEO-7) explores this question. […]

November 26, 2025

UNIDO Industrial Development Report 2026

United Nations Industrial Development Organization, 2025. Industrial Development Report 2026. The Future of Industrialization. Building Future-ready Industries for Sustainable Development. Vienna. On November 26, 2025, the United Nations Industrial Development […]

November 11, 2025

IFs Energy Model Documentation

Hughes, B. B., Solórzano, J., & Rothman, D. S., Irfan, R. I., Sahadevan, D. (2025, November 11). IFs energy model documentation. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of […]

October 24, 2025

Pardee Institute Strategic Plan 2025

What is our purpose? Who do we serve? How do we know we are making an impact? These questions guided the Pardee Institute's 2025 strategic planning cycle, enabling us to […]

September 9, 2025

We tracked every overseas trip by world leaders since the end of the Cold War – here’s what we found

McKee, K., & Meisel, C. (2025). We tracked every overseas trip by world leaders since the end of the Cold War – here’s what we found. The Conversation. https://doi.org/10.64628/aai.5xf7pq6p5 

August 27, 2025

Pardee 2024-2025 Annual Review

Annual Update for the Pardee Institute for International Futures, 2024-2025. The International Futures (IFs) forecasting system is central to much of the Pardee Institute’s work, constantly helping us to understand, […]

August 21, 2025

Right-sizing Africa’s “China challenge”

Meisel, C. (2025, August 21). Right-sizing Africa’s “China challenge”. ISS African Futures. https://futures.issafrica.org/blog/2025/Right-sizing-Africas-China-challenge

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