Request more info

National Power

Pardee’s National Power Indices measure state power across multiple dimensions of material capability and international interaction. It is part of the Pardee Institute's Diplometrics program, which builds datasets to measure international relationships that are often discussed qualitatively but are difficult to compare systematically. The indices help users compare national power over time and examine how the global distribution of power may change under different assumptions in International Futures.

Access the dataset

Indices at a glance

Measures
Multidimensional state power and material capabilities
Unit of Analysis
Country-year
Geographic coverage
188 countries in IFs forecasts
Time coverage
1960–present 
Included indices
Global Power Index, Hillebrand-Herman-Moyer Index, Hillebrand-Herman Index, and DiME capabilities index
Comparison measures
CINC and GDP-based measures
Forecast availability
Integrated in IFs for scenario analysis through 2150
Access
Public
Parent program
Diplometrics

What these indices measure

Pardee’s National Power Indices measure the potential for a state to realize desired outcomes in the international system. Rather than relying on a single measure such as GDP, the indices combine multiple dimensions of capability and interaction to compare national power across countries and over time.

The index family includes the Global Power Index, the Hillebrand-Herman-Moyer Index, the Hillebrand-Herman Index, and the Diplomacy, Military, Economy capabilities index.

Which indices are included

A multidimensional measure of national power developed by Pardee. Use for broad comparison of state power across countries and time.
Pardee’s adaptation of the Hillebrand-Herman Index. Use where research requires a power measure related to the HHI tradition but adapted for Pardee analysis.
An externally developed index included in the National Power codebook for comparison and use alongside Pardee’s measures.
A diplomacy, military, and economy capabilities index that organizes power around major domains of state capacity and international interaction.

How do these measures differ from CINC and GDP?

Many quantitative studies use either the Composite Index of National Capability from the Correlates of War project or economic size, such as GDP at market exchange rates, GDP at purchasing power parity, or GNP at market exchange rates, as proxies for national power.

Pardee’s National Power Indices extend that approach by incorporating additional dimensions of power, including nuclear weapons, technology, diplomatic networks, and alliance networks. These additions help users compare national capabilities in ways that are not captured by GDP or traditional material-capability measures alone.

Forecasting national power in IFs

The Global Power Index, Hillebrand-Herman-Moyer Index, Hillebrand-Herman Index, and DiME capabilities index are integrated into the International Futures modeling platform. This allows users to compare historical patterns and build scenarios that examine how the distribution of power could change across 188 countries through 2150.

IFs does not predict the future. It helps users explore plausible futures under different assumptions, using transparent, integrated modeling.

How these indices can be used

Measures of national power shape how researchers and analysts study competition, cooperation, alliance behavior, power transitions, and the relative position of countries in the international system. A multidimensional index helps users compare power beyond economic size alone and examine how military, diplomatic, economic, technological, and networked capabilities interact over time.

Access and citation

Use the National Power Indices to compare state power across countries and time. The codebook provides index definitions, source notes, and guidance for interpretation.

Help support a global community working toward a more knowable future

Pardee’s open tools, research, and training resources support students, researchers, policymakers, and practitioners around the world. Your gift helps keep that work accessible and strengthens the public research infrastructure behind it.

Give to Pardee

Stay connected with Pardee

Follow Pardee research, publications, events, and tools that help people reason more clearly about possible futures.

Subscribe

Contact us

Help support a global community working toward a more knowable future

Pardee’s open tools, research, and training resources support students, researchers, policymakers, and practitioners around the world. Your gift helps keep that work accessible and strengthens the public research infrastructure behind it.

Give to Pardee

Stay connected with Pardee

Follow Pardee research, publications, events, and tools that help people reason more clearly about possible futures.

Subscribe

Contact us

Copyright ©2026 University of Denver | All rights reserved | The University of Denver is an equal opportunity institution

Website Accessibility
crossmenuchevron-downarrow-rightcross-circle