The future cannot be reduced to a single path. But long-term trends can reveal patterns, constraints, and possibilities. Pardee uses integrated modeling and scenario analysis to study how those trends interact, where uncertainty matters most, and how different assumptions may shape plausible futures. In a world shaped by overlapping pressures, short-term analysis is often not enough. 

Long-horizon, systems-based analysis helps:

Building a more knowable future is the throughline of our research.

We work at the intersection of foresight and forecasting, using empirical analysis and integrated modeling to examine how global systems interact and change over time. Rather than predict a single future, we test assumptions and illuminate plausible pathways for long-term change.

At the center of this work is International Futures (IFs), our flagship modeling platform. Built over more than 40 years, IFs is grounded in social science methods and an extensive, integrated data infrastructure. Historical data series, many beginning in 1960, help us study past trends, understand current trajectories, and examine how human, social, economic, and environmental systems interact over time.

Our research also includes dataset building, analytical tools, and methods for studying bilateral and multilateral relationships. By measuring political, diplomatic, economic, security, and cultural ties between countries, this work helps make international system dynamics more visible. Some of these datasets and tools are integrated with IFs; others stand alone as public research infrastructure.