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Pardee About
The Frederick S. Pardee Institute for International Futures builds and uses data and tools to analyze our complex world and the long-term dynamics of change in human, social, and natural systems. We share our resources with policymakers, academics, and others seeking to improve the ways we contemplate and plan for the global future. Our flagship tool is the International Futures (IFs) model, which combines interconnected models across multiple domains: agriculture, demographics, economics, education, energy, environment, gender, governance, health, infrastructure, international politics, and technology.
International Futures (IFs) is a tool for thinking about long-term country-specific, regional, and global futures. IFs integrates forecasts across different sub-models that are dynamically connected for 186 countries, allowing IFs to simulate how changes in one system lead to changes across all other systems. As a result, IFs endogenizes more relationships from a wider range of key global systems than any other model in the world. You can use IFs to explore how countries and regions have developed in the past, how they might grow and change in the future, and possible futures based on policy choices.
IFs leverages historical data across over 5,000 historical series, identifies and measures trends, and models dynamic relationships to forecast hundreds of variables for 186 countries to the year 2100. To do this, IFs integrates multiple sub-models.
This report captures our significant achievements from the past year, shares highlights from our research, and celebrates our students and staff. This year has been especially noteworthy as we formally became recognized as a research institute by the University of Denver, our home institution. To learn more about the importance of this new distinction and what it means for Pardee’s future direction, check out our report.
"IFs distills long-term change down to a set of rules that simulate the interaction of economies, societies, and the environment over long time horizons, making it possible to plan for future outcomes."
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