Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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January 08, 2015

The Roads Ahead: Narratives for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Describing World Futures in the 21st Century

Journal Article

O’Neill, Brian C., Elmar Kriegler, Kristie L. Ebi, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Keywan Riahi, Dale S. Rothman, Bas J. Van Ruijven, et al. 2015.

January 03, 2015

Improving Governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario Forecasting the Next 50 Years

Journal Article

Joshi, Devin K., Barry B. Hughes, and Timothy D. Sisk. 2015. “Improving Governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario Forecasting the Next 50 Years.” World Development 70: 286–302.

January 01, 2015

Advancing development in Uganda: evaluating policy choices for 2016-21 and selected impacts to 2040

Other Publications

Moyer, Jonathan D., Alex Porter, Shelby Johnson, Jason R. Moyer, and David K. Bohl. 2015.

January 01, 2015

Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios

Third Party Publications

Hillebrand, Evan, and Stacy Closson. 2015. Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

January 01, 2015

Modelo International Futures: Fundamentos, Adaptaćion y Uso para el Planeamiento Estratégico del Perú

Third Party Publications

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico (CEPLAN). 2015 Update.

January 01, 2015

Pronósticos y escenarios: Educación en el Perú al 2030. La aplicación del modelo International Futures

Third Party Publications

Centro Nacional de Planeamiento Estratégico (CEPLAN). 2015.

December 01, 2014

Opportunities and Challenges of a World with Negligible Senescence

Other Publications

Hughes, Barry B., Randall Kuhn, Eli S. Margolese-Malin, Dale S. Rothman, and José R. Solórzano. 2014.

August 01, 2014

Eradicating Poverty in Fragile States: Prospects of Reaching the ‘High-Hanging’ Fruit by 2030

Other Publications

Burt, Alison, Barry B. Hughes, and Gary Milante. 2014.