As a successor to the Millennium Development Goal of reducing extreme poverty by 50 percent before 2015, the global community is rapidly moving toward setting a goal of eliminating it by 2030 (using 3 percent as a target for effective elimination). That goal appears very likely beyond the reach of fragile and conflict-afflicted states. The Pardee Center has collaborated with the World Bank's Center on Conflict, Security, and Development to forecast probable and possible levels of poverty in those states and to explore interventions that might accelerate reduction, even if the 3 percent poverty level does not appear attainable.