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Access International Futures

Use the online version to demo IFs. Download the full version when you are ready to do more advanced work.
IFs is Pardee’s open-source, integrated forecasting platform for scenario-based analysis across connected global systems. It does not predict a single future; it helps users compare plausible futures under different assumptions.

Use this page to choose the right version of International Futures (IFs), open IFs Online, download IFs Desktop, and check system requirements.

Which version should I use?

Use IFs Online to explore the platform in a browser. Download the desktop version when you need advanced analysis, local access, saved runfiles, or continuity with a specific IFs version.

Both versions are free to use. 

Choose the version that matches your question, technical needs, and level of experience. For research or published analysis, note the version you used and cite IFs accordingly.

Download IFs

Download the desktop version when you need advanced analysis, local access, saved runfiles, or continuity with a specific IFs version.
Download IFs

General

  • Explore baseline forecasts of more than 900 variables for 188 countries out to 2150.
  • Compare outcomes in the baseline scenario to six* pre-run global scenarios across all variables and countries.
  • Export available data and forecasts in data table or graphical format.

Displays

  • Create and save new scenarios and edit existing ones
  • Run scenario files to produce the corresponding displayable output files
  • Run scenario files in batch
  • Explore and Edit Bivariate and Multivariate Functions used across the model to produce the forecast

Data Analysis

  • Longitudinal and Cross-sectional data analysis of more than 7000 historical variables

Extended Features

  • Import new available data
  • Rebuild the Base to recalibrate with new data available
  • Change the Base Year (Initial Year of the Forecast)
Mac users need a Windows environment, virtualization, or another supported workaround. Confirm local requirements with your institution or IT team before installing.

Demo IFs

Use the IFs Demo version to explore the platform in a browser. 
Demo IFs

Within this version you can:

  • Explore baseline forecasts of more than 900 variables for 188 countries out to 2150.
  • Compare outcomes in the baseline scenario to six* pre-run global scenarios across all variables and countries.
  • Export available data and forecasts in data table or graphical format.
IFs Online works best in current versions of Chrome, Firefox, or Edge. JavaScript and cookies must be enabled.

IFs forecasts are also accessible via web links from country profile pages on IFs Wikipedia page. Links from both of those sources will take you directly into the IFs system on the University of Denver’s servers.

Versioning and citation

IFs changes over time as data, model structures, interface features, and documentation are updated.

If you use IFs for research, teaching, published analysis, or project work, record the version used. This helps other users understand which model structure and data supported your results.

When publishing or sharing IFs-based analysis:

  • Record the IFs version.
  • Name major assumptions or scenario changes.
  • Compare results against the IFs Base Case.
  • Cite IFs using Pardee’s recommended citation format.
  • Avoid presenting scenario results as predictions.

Review citation guidance

Why versions matter

IFs has evolved through multiple generations of model and interface development. For most users, the latest public version is the best choice. For users reproducing earlier work, archived versions may be necessary.

Written in FORTRAN & available for use on mainframe computers through the University of Iowa's CONDUIT system, this first generation of IFs was primarily an education tool used by students. However, it was also used by the U.S. Foreign Service Institute for a mid-career training program.

The second generation of IFs moved to early microcomputers in 1985, using the DOS platform. It was a simplified version of the original IFs system without regional or country differentiation.

The 3rd generation marked a major leap in both substance and user experience: richer subsystem representation (environment, socio-politics), integration of GLOBUS, and enhanced functionality including mapping and data analysis under a Windows interface.

The fourth generation took shape during the early 2000s. It was heavily influenced by the usage of the modeling system for policy analysis, including its uses in the TERRA project and work on the Global Trends reports. This generation had a heavy emphasis on enhanced usability, including the creation of a new tree structure and guided use mode for scenario creation and management.

The fifth generation of IFs (from 2004-2009) had three major thrusts:

  • The continued enhancement of the model itself, including clearer and more extensive representations of the agent classes and their points of leverage, stemming from the desire to make the modeling system a more valuable scenario-testing and policy analysis tool. The further elaboration of the social accounting matrix, structure, the development of education and health sub-models, and the substantial redesign of an economic production function with endogenous multifactor productivity were among several outcomes of this thrust.
  • The project continued to enhance the model’s interface and usability. Efforts included the addition of a number of specialized displays, such as those for seeing the social accounting matrices, to display progress towards the Millennium Development Goals, to explore poverty at different income levels, and to represent the educational attainment of population cohorts. Mapping and data analysis tools were also strengthened. The ability to drill down into select countries to explore futures at the state or province-level was also added.
  • The third thrust was the further institutionalization of the IFs system via (a) increased accessibility, transparency, and openness and (b) broader and deeper connections with other modelers and model users. The first step in greatly increasing IFs accessibility was the sponsorship of the web-based version of the model by the National Intelligence Council in its Project 2020 (NIC 2004). Enhanced transparency came from adding the ability for users to access the flow charts, equations, and code underlying the model.

The sixth generation of IFs revolved around the development of the Patterns of Potential Human Progress (PPHP) series. The PPHP volumes, with their focus on major human development systems, spurred the further enhancement of the model’s major subsystems, especially population, economic (especially poverty representation), education, health, infrastructure, and governance. The supporting documentation required for the PPHP series also gave rise to efforts to create the most detailed documentation of the model to date.

The seventh generation officially began in 2014. This generation emerged after the PPHP volumes and with the advent of a variety of new projects, including wider support for provincial and state breakdowns, new means of forecasting diplomatic and power interactions, and enhanced representations in many of the IFs modules. Central to the institute's efforts, however, are continuous improvements in the existing elements of the model and their usability. The sixth generation greatly strengthened the web-based version and it will increasingly become central to our work in the current generation.

The current generation is primarily distinguished by a transition in the underlying coding language, shifting from Visual Basic 6 to Visual Basic .NET. This shift has facilitated the integration of both online and standalone user interfaces, streamlining the process of implementing interface modifications. Moreover, the adoption of this new underlying language and user interface has empowered developers to leverage a broader range of third-party applications and dynamic visualization tools, while aligning with Microsoft-supported languages. 

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