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Pardee Institute
The Future is a Moving Target: Predicting Political Instability
There's still time to apply! Accepting applications for Fall 2026 with scholarship support available. Apply now!
The Future is a Moving Target: Predicting Political Instability
The Future is a Moving Target: Predicting Political Instability
Previous research by Goldstone et al. (2010) generated a highly accurate predictive model of state-level political instability... This article reassesses the model’s explanatory power and makes three related points.
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