Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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December 20, 2024

Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures model

Journal Article

Solórzano, J., Hughes, B., Irfan, M., Xiong, Y., Kwasi, S., Ibrahim, A., Makhamatova, S., Hanna, T., Moyer, J. (2024). Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures model. One Earth. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xpro.2024.103414

December 18, 2024

The past, present, and future of Ghana’s WASH sector. An explorative analysis

Journal Article

Abu, T., Achore, M., Irfan, M., Musah, I., Azzika, T. (2024). The past, present, and future of Ghana’s WASH sector. An explorative analysis. Water Security. 23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2024.100185

December 12, 2024

In Syria, be careful what you wish for

Op-Eds

Meisel, C. (2024). In Syria, be careful what you wish for. Modern War Institute. https://mwi.westpoint.edu/in-syria-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/

December 10, 2024

Land degradation and human development in Yemen

Reports & Briefs

Hanna, T., Kruczkiewicz, A., Owen, M. (2024). Land degradation and human development in Yemen. United Nations Development Programme. https://www.undp.org/yemen/publications/land-degradation-and-human-development-yemen

December 10, 2024

Navigating the futures: Four scenarios assessing child well-being in the twenty-first century

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J., Sahadevan, D. (2024). Navigating the future: Four scenarios assessing child well-being in the twenty-first century. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/innocenti/media/10201/file/UNICEF-Innocenti-Navigate-Future-Report-2024.pdf

November 16, 2024

Carbon bargain: The energy transition will be much cheaper than you think

Third Party Publications

(2024). Carbon bargain: The energy transition will be much cheaper than you think. The Economist.

November 13, 2024

Advancing the SDG Push with equitable low-carbon pathways

Reports & Briefs

Abidoye, B., Banda, A., Baumwoll, J., Carman, R., Moz-Christofoletti, M., Orlic, E., Patterson, L. (2024). Advancing the SDG Push with equitable low-carbon pathways. UNDP. https://www.undp.org/publications/advancing-sdg-push-equitable-low-carbon-pathways

August 20, 2024

Bearing witness: Introducing the Perceived Mass Atrocities Dataset (PMAD)

Journal Article

Meisel, C., Moyer, J., Matthews, S., Kaplan, O., Byrnes, R., Benjumea, K., Cribb, P., Van Son, C. (2024). Bearing witness: Introducing the Perceived Mass Atrocities Dataset (PMAD). Journal of Peace Research. https://doi.org/10.1177/00223433241249333