Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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August 20, 2024

Bearing witness: Introducing the Perceived Mass Atrocities Dataset (PMAD)

Journal Article | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. J., Moyer, J. D., Matthews, A. S., Kaplan, O., Byrnes, R., Benjumea, K., Cribb, P., & Van Son, C. (2024). Bearing witness: Introducing the Perceived Mass Atrocities Dataset (PMAD). Journal of Peace Research

July 24, 2024

In brief: China’s third plenum

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: In brief: China’s third plenum. War on the Rocks (July 24, 2024) Collin Meisel, Bonny Lin, Sheena Chestnut Greitens, and Thomas Shugart https://warontherocks.com/2024/ 07/in-brief-chinas-third-plenum

July 01, 2024

Yemen voluntary national review

Reports & Briefs | Taylor Hanna

Citation: Yemen voluntary national review. Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation (July 2024) Contributions from Taylor Hanna, Abdelrahman Ibrahim, and Jonathan D. Moyer, https://hlpf.un.org/countries/yemen/voluntary-national-reviews-2024

May 08, 2024

In Brief: The U.S-Chinese Relationship

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C., Studeman, M., Sun, Y., & Daniels, R. (2024, May 8). In Brief: U.S-Chinese Relationship. War on the Rocks. https://warontherocks.com/2024/05/in-brief-the-u-s-chinese-relationship/

April 16, 2024

Sustainable Development Goal Attainment in the Wake of COVID-19: Simulating an Ambitious Policy Push

Journal Article | Taylor Hanna

Full Citation: Hanna, T.; Hughes, B.B.; Irfan, M.T.; Bohl, D.K.; Solórzano et al., Sustainable Development Goal Attainment in the Wake of COVID-19: Simulating an Ambitious Policy Push. Sustainability 2024, 16, 3309. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16083309

April 09, 2024

Opinion: There is more to NATO burden sharing than the 2% spending dogma

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. (2024, April 9). Opinion: There is more to NATO burden sharing than the 2% spending dogma. Defense News. https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/2024/04/09/there-is-more-to-nato-burden-sharing-than-the-2-spending-dogma/

April 01, 2024

Beyond Ukraine: Forecasting the Future of War - Chapter by Collin Meisel

Books & Book Chapters | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Forecasting the future of war. In Tim Sweijs and Jeffrey H. Michaels (Eds.), Beyond Ukraine: Debating the future of war, (pp. 287–303). Oxford University Press (July 2024)

February 20, 2024

Accelerating Change But Not Necessarily an Inflection Point

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. (2024, February 20). Accelerating Change But Not Necessarily an Inflection Point. Stimson. https://www.stimson.org/2024/accelerating-change-but-not-necessarily-an-inflection-point/