Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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January 22, 2024

A double-edged sword into a plowshare: Analyzing geopolitical implications of alternative socioeconomic development pathways

Journal Article | Jonathan Moyer

By: Moyer, J. D. (2024). A double-edged sword into a plowshare: Analyzing geopolitical implications of alternative socioeconomic development pathways. One Earth. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.01.002

January 16, 2024

Supply, demand and polarization challenges facing US climate policies

Journal Article | Jonathan Moyer

By: Burgess, M. G., Leaf Van Boven, Wagner, G., Wong‐Parodi, G., Baker, K., Boykoff, M., Converse, B. A., Dilling, L., Gilligan, J. M., Yoel Inbar, Markowitz, E. M., Moyer, J. D., Newton, P. W., Raimi, K. T., Shrum, T. R., & Vandenbergh, M. P. (2024).

January 15, 2024

Prospects for Children in 2024: Cooperation in a Fragmented World

Reports & Briefs | Taylor Hanna

Contributors from Pardee: Jonathan Moyer, Deva Sahadevan, Taylor Hanna, and Caleb Petry. Alam, A. et al., (2024). Prospects for Children in 2024: Cooperation in a Fragmented World. UNICEF.

January 08, 2024

Scanning The Horizon: If The Future Is Unknowable, Why Bother WIth Forecasting?

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

By: Meisel, C., & Petry, C. (2024, January 8). Scanning The Horizon: If The Future Is Unknowable, Why Bother WIth Forecasting? Modern War Institute. https://mwi.westpoint.edu/scanning-the-horizon-if-the-future-is-unknowable-why-bother-with-forecasting/

January 02, 2024

The War Party Has Champagne Tastes On A Beer Budget

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. (2024, January 2). The War Party Has Champagne Tastes On A Beer Budget. Responsible Statecraft. https://responsiblestatecraft.org/us-military-budget/

December 07, 2023

Rewind and Reconnoiter: China's Slowing Economy with Collin Meisel - War on the Rocks

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. (2023, December 7). Rewind and Reconnoiter China's Slowing Economy with Collin Meisel. War on the Rocks.

December 06, 2023

In Brief: China's Struggling Economy - War on the Rocks

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C., Sun, Y., Blanchette, J., & Scissors, D. (2023, December 6). In Brief: China's Struggling Economy - War on the Rocks. War on the Rocks. https://warontherocks.com/2023/12/in-brief-chinas-struggling-economy/

December 01, 2023

Can China’s Baby Bust Be Reversed? Don’t Count On It

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. (2023, December 1). Can China’s Baby Bust Be Reversed? Don’t Count On It. Time Magazine. https://time.com/6341316/china-baby-bust-demographics/