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PAPOR Conference on California Recall

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Floyd Ciruli

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California’s top pollsters will review their recall election polls in a virtual panel moderated by Floyd Ciruli, director of the Crossley Center for Public Opinion Research at the University of Denver. The program is a part of the three-day December 1-3 annual conference of the Pacific Chapter of American Association for Public Opinion Research.

The two leading California polling organizations – the Public Policy Institute of California and its president and CEO Mark Baldassare and the Berkeley IGS Poll and its director Mark DiCamillo – who used different methodologies, will review the accuracy of their results and recall polling in general. Also, the media coverage of recall polling and its impact on the election narrative will be considered. Finally, the main drivers of Governor Gavin Newsom’s success in defeating the recall will be analyzed, along with the performance of key constituencies.

Panelists are: