Moyer brings scenario methods to WEF discussion of AI and cybercrime 

Frontier AI models, the most advanced general-purpose models available, are improving quickly. For experts working to prevent cybercrime, that pace creates a planning problem: How do you prepare for capabilities and criminal uses that are not yet widespread?  

Pardee Institute Director Jonathan Moyer joined a World Economic Forum (WEF) virtual workshop on August 27 that took up that question. The session was convened by the Partnership against Cybercrime, an initiative of WEF's Centre for Cybersecurity, as part of its working group "Understanding the influence of frontier AI models on cybercrime." 

A working group looking ahead 

The working group, which launched in July, examines how frontier AI models could change cybercrime, including emerging criminal uses that are not yet widely observed. The August workshop used strategic foresight and scenario development to explore how these changes could unfold. 

Pardee's contribution 

WEF invited Moyer to share how foresight scenarios are developed. Drawing on Pardee’s scenario-development work with International Futures (IFs), the Institute’s open-source, integrated forecasting platform, Moyer discussed how scenarios can make assumptions explicit and examine possible pathways. His contribution connected technological change with the social, geopolitical, economic, and regulatory conditions that could shape cybercrime risks. 

Learn more 

Read more about WEF's Partnership against Cybercrime.