Putting the Brakes on Road Traffic Fatalities in Africa

Eshbaugh, M., Maly, G., Moyer, J.D. and Torkelson, E. (2012). “Putting the Brakes on Road Traffic Fatalities in Africa.”

African Futures Brief No. 3. Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver. Pretoria, South Africa, and Denver, CO, USA.

In a Base Case analysis, road traffic accidents in Africa are expected to rapidly increase over the next four decades, becoming a major public health challenge across the continent. The authors analyze the developmental risk factors that contribute to accidents and identify policy interventions to address those risks. The International Futures system is used to forecast the effects of the policy interventions in reducing road traffic deaths and increasing years of productive life, with resulting increases in GDP.