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Pardee Resources

Reducing Global Poverty: Forecasting the Next 50 Years (Patterns of Potential Human Progress Volume 1)

Hughes, B.B, Irfan, M.T., Khan, H., Kumar, K.B., Rothman, D.S. (2015). Reducing global poverty: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 1). Routledge.

The ambitious Patterns of Potential Human Progress series was inspired by the United Nations Human Development Reports, the United Nations Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), and other initiatives to improve the global human condition. The foundational element of those initiatives, reducing poverty worldwide, is the focus of this book, the first volume in the PPHP series.

Reducing Global Poverty uses a large-scale computer program called International Futures (IFs), developed over three decades and based and the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures within the Josef Korbel School of Global and Public Affairs at the University of Denver. The book presents the most extensive set of forecasts of global and country-level poverty ever made, providing and exploring a massive multi-issue database and a wide range of scenarios. The forecasts are long term, looking 50 years into the future, thereby anticipating the need of the global community to think well beyond the MDGs.

Additional Resources:

Base Case End Tables Using IFs Version 7.02
Base Case End Tables

Alternate Scenario 1 End Tables Using IFs Version 7.02
Poverty Combined Domestic Interventions

Alternate Scenario 2 End Tables Using IFs Version 7.02
Poverty Combined International Interventions

Alternate Scenario 3 End Tables Using IFs Version 7.02
Poverty Combined Domestic and International Interventions

Summary Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Summary Scenario Annotations

Detailed Scenario Annotations, All PPHP Volumes
PPHP Detailed Scenario Annotations

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