Model Documentation

The major components of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system are extensively documented in working papers, and documentation of any given component is updated at intervals to reflect additions and refinements as well as connections to other system components. Because of its evolving nature, it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing model documentation.

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February 04, 2025

Representing gender inequality in scenarios improves understanding of climate challenges

Journal Article

Andrijevic, M., Zimm, C., Moyer, J.D., Muttarak, R., et al. 2025. Representing gender inequality in scenarios improves understanding of climate challenges. Nature Climate Change, 15, 138–146. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

January 13, 2025

From Myanmar to Gaza, Ukraine to Sudan – 2024 was another grim year, according to our mass atrocity index

Op-Eds

Meisel, C. (2025, January 13). From Myanmar to Gaza, Ukraine to Sudan – 2024 was another grim year, according to our mass atrocity index. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/from-myanmar-to-gaza-ukraine-to-sudan-2024-was-another-grim-year-accord

December 20, 2024

Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures model

Journal Article

Solórzano, J., Hughes, B., Irfan, M., Xiong, Y., Kwasi, S., Ibrahim, A., Makhamatova, S., Hanna, T., Moyer, J. (2024). Protocol for making forecasts exogenous in the International Futures model. One Earth. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xpro.2024.103414

December 18, 2024

The past, present, and future of Ghana’s WASH sector. An explorative analysis

Journal Article

Abu, T., Achore, M., Irfan, M., Musah, I., Azzika, T. (2024). The past, present, and future of Ghana’s WASH sector. An explorative analysis. Water Security. 23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2024.100185

December 12, 2024

In Syria, be careful what you wish for

Op-Eds

Meisel, C. (2024). In Syria, be careful what you wish for. Modern War Institute. https://mwi.westpoint.edu/in-syria-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/

December 10, 2024

Land degradation and human development in Yemen

Reports & Briefs

Hanna, T., Kruczkiewicz, A., Owen, M. (2024). Land degradation and human development in Yemen. United Nations Development Programme. https://www.undp.org/yemen/publications/land-degradation-and-human-development-yemen

December 10, 2024

Navigating the futures: Four scenarios assessing child well-being in the twenty-first century

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J., Sahadevan, D. (2024). Navigating the future: Four scenarios assessing child well-being in the twenty-first century. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/innocenti/media/10201/file/UNICEF-Innocenti-Navigate-Future-Report-2024.pdf

November 16, 2024

Carbon bargain: The energy transition will be much cheaper than you think

Third Party Publications

(2024). Carbon bargain: The energy transition will be much cheaper than you think. The Economist.