Barry B. Hughes, Ph.D., Founder
Dr. Barry B. Hughes is a Distinguished University Professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, and was the founding Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.
Dr. Hughes is motivated to develop effective responses to long-term global change and to improve the long-term human condition. As Founder of the Pardee Center, his work has focused on developing tools and processes to understand human, social, and environmental development. He developed International Futures (IFs), the widely-used computer simulation for study of long-term national, regional, and global issues. Computer simulation models like IFs, as well as other data visualization models, make possible socio-political forecasting that informs policymakers.
Dr. Hughes supported the U.S. National Intelligence Council's reports to the President on Mapping the Global Futures 2020, Global Trends 2025, and Global Trends 2030. He provided long-term global forecasting for the United Nations Environment Programme's Global Environment Outlook 4. He provided background research papers and forecasting content used in the United Nations Human Development Reports (2011 and 2013). He was a principal researcher in European Commission projects on the New Economy and on Information and Communications Technology. He has contributed research to projects of RAND, the Central Intelligence Agency, the United States Institute of Peace,Peru's National Center for Strategic Planning (CEPLAN), and many other organizations.
Dr. Hughes has written or co-authored The Domestic Context of American Foreign Policy (Freeman 1978), World Modeling (Lexington 1980), World Futures (Johns Hopkins 1985), Disarmament and Development (Prentice-Hall 1990), Continuity and Change in World Politics (Prentice-Hall 1991, 1994, 1997, 2000), International Futures (Westview 1993, 1996, 1999), Exploring and Shaping International Futures (Paradigm 2006), Reducing Global Poverty (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2009), Advancing Global Education (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2010), Improving Global Health (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2011), Building Global Infrastructure (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2013), Strengthening Governance Globally (Paradigm and Oxford University Press, 2014), Exploring and Understanding International Futures: Building Global Model Systems (Elsevier 2018), as well as articles in publications including World Politics, International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, Futures, L'Express, Energy Policy, Policy Studies Review, International Political Science Review, Simulation and Gaming, Economic Development and Cultural Change, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, Sustainability, PLoS One, Climatic Change, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, and World Development.
Hughes BB, Narayan K (2021) "Enhancing integrated analysis of national and global goal pursuit by endogenizing economic productivity." PLoS ONE 16(2): e0246797.
Abidoye, B., Felix, J., Kapto, S. & Patterson, L. (2021). "Leaving No One Behind: Impact of COVID-19 on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)." New York, NY and Denver CO: United Nations Development Programme and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.
Hughes, Barry B., Irfan, Mohammod T., Solórzano, José, Yang, Vivian, Moyer, Jonathan D. (2021). "Estimating current values of sustainable development goal indicators using an integrated assessment modeling platform: “Nowcasting” with International Futures." DOI: 10.3233/SJI-200715