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What Might the year 2035 Bring for China’s Trade with Latin America?

January 01, 2021

The IFs team continues to collaborate with the Atlantic Council on issues including assessing global risks, urbanization and its impacts, the security implications of natural resources including food, water, and energy, state fragility and resilience, the end of global tyranny in our lifetimes, and the assessment and forecasting of power globally. Specifically, we work with the Foresight, Strategy and Risks (FSR) Initiative, a program that provides "actionable foresight and innovative strategies to a global community of policymakers, business leaders, and citizens.

Trade between China and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) experienced dramatic growth since the early 2000s. By 2035, trade values will likely reach unprecedented levels. Providing greater insight into future commercial scenarios, this report outlines four scenarios for China-LAC trade through 2035. It aims to trigger policy discussions and influence actions based on how this growing relationship may evolve. The report shows that China and the United States will probably account for similar shares of the region’s overall trade, but with important distinctions across LAC countries.