Model Documentation

The major components of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system are extensively documented in working papers, and documentation of any given component is updated at intervals to reflect additions and refinements as well as connections to other system components. Because of its evolving nature, it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing model documentation.

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Population Futures: Revisiting South Africa's National Development Plan 2030

Reports & Briefs

Go, A., Moyer, J.D., Rafa, M. and Schünemann, J. (2013). “Population Futures: Revisiting South Africa’s National Development Plan 2030.”

Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J. D., Neill, C. and Rafa, M. (2013). “Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040.”

Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years

Books & Book Chapters

Hillebrand, E. (2011). “Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years.” In Conforti, P. ed., Looking Ahead in World Agriculture: Perspectives to 2050. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 159-190.

Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Cilliers, J., Schünemann, J., and Moyer, J.D. (2015). “Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa.”

Prospects for Africa's 26 Fragile Countries

Reports & Briefs

Cilliers, J. and Sisk, T.D. (2013). “Prospects for Africa’s 26 Fragile Countries.”

Prospects for Children in 2022: A Global Outlook

Reports & Briefs

UNICEF. (2022). "Prospects for Children in 2022: A Global Outlook." Office of Global Insight and Policy, UNICEF.

Putting the Brakes on Road Traffic Fatalities in Africa

Reports & Briefs

Eshbaugh, M., Maly, G., Moyer, J.D. and Torkelson, E. (2012). “Putting the Brakes on Road Traffic Fatalities in Africa.”

Reasonable Goals for Poverty in Africa: Targets for the Post-2015 MDGs and Agenda 2063

Reports & Briefs

Turner, S., Cilliers, J. and Hughes, B.B. (2015). “Reasonable Goals for Reducing Poverty in Africa: Targets for the Post-2015 MDGs and Agenda 2063.”