Model Documentation

The major components of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system are extensively documented in working papers, and documentation of any given component is updated at intervals to reflect additions and refinements as well as connections to other system components. Because of its evolving nature, it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing model documentation.

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May 25, 2023

Spheres of Influence in the Coming Decades: Four Alternative Scenarios

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, Collin J., Caleb L. Petry, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Mathew Burrows. n.d. “Spheres of Influence in the Coming Decades: Four Alternative Scenarios.” Stimson.

May 01, 2023

“Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty”

Journal Article | Jonathan Moyer

By: Moyer, J. D. (2023a). Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty. World Development, 165, 106188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106188

February 01, 2023

Foundational Research Report: SDG Push+ Accelerating universal electricity access and its effects on sustainable development indicators

Reports & Briefs | Deva Sahadevan

Full Citation: Sahadevan, D., Hanna, T., Moz-Christofoletti, M. A., Orlic, E., Okiya, S., Abidoye, B., & Moyer, J. D. (2023). UNDP. https://data.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke476/files/2023-11/20230606_Universal-Electrification-Research-Report.pdf

January 10, 2023

2022 Africa Sustainable Development Report

Reports & Briefs | Celine Palmer

Full Citation: Mekonnen, S. M., Mbate, M., Osman-Elasha, B., Akol, C., Janneh, A et Al., (2022). 2022 Africa Sustainable Development Report. UNDP. https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2023-01/Africa%20Sustainable%20Development-Report_2

November 03, 2022

Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development - Report 2

Reports & Briefs

Full Citation: Verhagen, W., Meziere, M. E., Bohl, D. K., Howe, B., & Moyer, J. (2010). Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development - Report 2. Pardee Center for International Futures. https://korbel.du.edu/pardee/Guinea-Bissau/en

May 10, 2022

Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image

Journal Article | Jonathan Moyer

By: Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel & Austin S. Matthews (2023) Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image, Journal of Contemporary China, 32:140, 191-206, DOI: 10.1080/10670564.2022.2071879

April 01, 2022

The Impact of COVID-19 on the Reduction of Child Stunting Over the Next Two Decades

Reports & Briefs

Full Citation: Verhagen, W. (2022) "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Reduction of Child Stunting Over the Next Two Decades." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of International Studies. Denver: Report for USAID.

April 01, 2022

Unpacking the Impacts of COVID-19 on Long-Term Food Security

Reports & Briefs

Full Citation: Verhagen, W. (2022) "Unpacking the Impacts of COVID-19 on Long-Term Food Security." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of International Studies. Denver: Report for USAID.