Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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January 01, 2008

Forecasting Globalization: The Use of International Futures (IFs)

Books & Book Chapters | Barry B. Hughes

Hughes, Barry B. 2008.

December 31, 2007

Forecasting Global Economic Growth with Endogenous Multifactor Productivity: The International Futures (IFs) Approach

Working Papers | Barry B. Hughes

Hughes, Barry B. 2007.

January 01, 2007

Assessing Strategies for Reducing Poverty

Journal Article

Hughes, Barry B., and Mohammod T. Irfan. 2007. “Assessing Strategies for Reducing Poverty.” International Studies Review 9 (4): 690–710. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2486.2007.00731.x.

January 01, 2007

Global Environment Outlook (GEO) 4: Environment for Development

Third Party Publications

United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). 2007. Global Environment Outlook: Environment for Development (GEO4). Nairobi, Kenya: United Nations Environment Programme.

January 01, 2007

The Future Today

Books & Book Chapters

Rothman, Dale S., John Agard, and Joseph Alcamo (coordinating lead authors). 2007.

June 20, 2006

Assessing the Credibility of Forecasts using International Futures (IFs): Verification and Validation

Working Papers | Barry B. Hughes

Hughes, Barry B. 2006.

February 15, 2006

Exploring and Shaping International Futures

Books & Book Chapters | Barry B. Hughes & Evan E. Hillebrand

Hughes, Barry B., and Evan E. Hillebrand. 2006. Exploring and Shaping International Futures. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publishers.

January 01, 2006

Korea 2020, National Security Futures, Development, Democracy and Choices: Building a Korea Peace Structure

Third Party Publications

Chadwick, Richard W. 2006. “Korea 2020, National Security Futures, Development, Democracy, and Choices: Building a Korea Peace Structure.” Discussion paper. University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii.