Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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IFs Interstate Politics Model Documentation

Model Documentation

Citation: Hughes, B. B. (2017). IFs interstate politics model documentation. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver. https://pardeewiki.du.edu/index.php?title=Interstate_Politics_(IP)

Improving Global Health: Forecasting the Next 50 Years (PPHP Volume 3) Base Case End Tables Using IFs 7.0.2

Books & Book Chapters

Hughes, B.B., Kuhn, R., Peterson, C.M., Rothman, D.S., Solorzano, J.R. (2011). Improving global health: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 3). Routledge.

International Futures: Building and Using Global Models

Book | Barry Hughes

International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term, global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the International Futures (IFs) system.

Key to the Horn: Ethiopia's Prospects to 2030

Reports & Briefs

Donnenfeld, Z., Porter, A., Cilliers, J., Moyer, J.D., Scott, A.C., Maweni, J. & Aucoin, C. 2017. Key to the Horn: Ethiopia's prospects to 2030.

Knowledge Empowers Africa: The Benefits of Increased Investment in Education

Reports & Briefs

Gehring, K., Irfan, M.T., McLennan, P., Moyer, J.D., Selebalo, H. and Torkelson, E. (2011). “Knowledge Empowers Africa: The Benefits of Increased Investment in Education.”

Malaria No More: Expectations for Eradication

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J.D. and Emde, G. (2012). “Malaria No More: Expectations for Eradication.”

Parched Prospects II: A Revised Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast for South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Hedden, S. (2016). "Parched Prospects II: A Revised Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast for South Africa." African Futures Paper No. 16. Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School o

Parched Prospects: the Emerging Water Crisis in South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Hedden, S. and Cilliers, J. (2014). “Parched Prospects: The Emerging Water Crisis in South Africa.”