Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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Key to the Horn: Ethiopia's Prospects to 2030

Reports & Briefs

Donnenfeld, Z., Porter, A., Cilliers, J., Moyer, J.D., Scott, A.C., Maweni, J. & Aucoin, C. 2017. Key to the Horn: Ethiopia's prospects to 2030.

Knowledge Empowers Africa: The Benefits of Increased Investment in Education

Reports & Briefs

Gehring, K., Irfan, M.T., McLennan, P., Moyer, J.D., Selebalo, H. and Torkelson, E. (2011). “Knowledge Empowers Africa: The Benefits of Increased Investment in Education.”

Malaria No More: Expectations for Eradication

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J.D. and Emde, G. (2012). “Malaria No More: Expectations for Eradication.”

Parched Prospects II: A Revised Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast for South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Hedden, S. (2016). "Parched Prospects II: A Revised Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast for South Africa." African Futures Paper No. 16. Institute for Security Studies and Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School o

Parched Prospects: the Emerging Water Crisis in South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Hedden, S. and Cilliers, J. (2014). “Parched Prospects: The Emerging Water Crisis in South Africa.”

Population Futures: Revisiting South Africa's National Development Plan 2030

Reports & Briefs

Go, A., Moyer, J.D., Rafa, M. and Schünemann, J. (2013). “Population Futures: Revisiting South Africa’s National Development Plan 2030.”

Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J. D., Neill, C. and Rafa, M. (2013). “Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040.”

Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years

Books & Book Chapters

Hillebrand, E. (2011). “Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years.” In Conforti, P. ed., Looking Ahead in World Agriculture: Perspectives to 2050. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 159-190.