Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J. D., Neill, C. and Rafa, M. (2013). “Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040.”

Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years

Books & Book Chapters

Hillebrand, E. (2011). “Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years.” In Conforti, P. ed., Looking Ahead in World Agriculture: Perspectives to 2050. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 159-190.

Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Cilliers, J., Schünemann, J., and Moyer, J.D. (2015). “Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa.”

Prospects for Africa's 26 Fragile Countries

Reports & Briefs

Cilliers, J. and Sisk, T.D. (2013). “Prospects for Africa’s 26 Fragile Countries.”

Prospects for Children in 2022: A Global Outlook

Reports & Briefs

UNICEF. (2022). "Prospects for Children in 2022: A Global Outlook." Office of Global Insight and Policy, UNICEF.

Putting the Brakes on Road Traffic Fatalities in Africa

Reports & Briefs

Eshbaugh, M., Maly, G., Moyer, J.D. and Torkelson, E. (2012). “Putting the Brakes on Road Traffic Fatalities in Africa.”

Reasonable Goals for Poverty in Africa: Targets for the Post-2015 MDGs and Agenda 2063

Reports & Briefs

Turner, S., Cilliers, J. and Hughes, B.B. (2015). “Reasonable Goals for Reducing Poverty in Africa: Targets for the Post-2015 MDGs and Agenda 2063.”

Reducing Global Poverty: Forecasting the Next 50 Years (Patterns of Potential Human Progress Volume 1)

Books & Book Chapters

Hughes, B.B, Irfan, M.T., Khan, H., Kumar, K.B., Rothman, D.S. (2015). Reducing global poverty: Forecasting the next 50 years (Patterns of potential human progress volume 1). Routledge.