From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.
In this commentary with the Modern War Institute at West Point, Collin makes a case for how and why material measures continue to offer an important guide to measuring power at the national level.
Collin's latest commentary in War on the Rocks was just published May 8, 2023. Meisel argues that focusing only on the deterrence failures in Ukraine at the expense of deterrence successes in Europe muddies conversations about deterrence and risks drawing
By: Moyer, J. D. (2023a). Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty. World Development, 165, 106188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106188
Full Citation: Sahadevan, D., Hanna, T., Moz-Christofoletti, M. A., Orlic, E., Okiya, S., Abidoye, B., & Moyer, J. D. (2023). UNDP. https://data.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke476/files/2023-11/20230606_Universal-Electrification-Research-Report.pdf
Full Citation: Mekonnen, S. M., Mbate, M., Osman-Elasha, B., Akol, C., Janneh, A et Al., (2022). 2022 Africa Sustainable Development Report. UNDP. https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2023-01/Africa%20Sustainable%20Development-Report_2
Full Citation: Verhagen, W., Meziere, M. E., Bohl, D. K., Howe, B., & Moyer, J. (2010). Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development - Report 2. Pardee Center for International Futures. https://korbel.du.edu/pardee/Guinea-Bissau/en
By: Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel & Austin S. Matthews (2023) Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image, Journal of Contemporary China, 32:140, 191-206, DOI: 10.1080/10670564.2022.2071879
Full Citation: Verhagen, W. (2022) "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Reduction of Child Stunting Over the Next Two Decades." Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures. Josef Korbel School of International Studies. Denver: Report for USAID.