Working Papers

From time to time, analytic working papers are generated to explore selected aspects of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. Some are used to test aspects of the model, while others become foundations for larger research efforts and writing projects. Many evolve over time, so it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing the papers.

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September 14, 2023

Coups are making a comeback

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C., & Mckee, K. (2023, September 24). Coups are making a comeback. The Hill. https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4201818-coups-are-making-a-comeback/

August 06, 2023

The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Is Boosting the Potential for U.S. Influence Abroad

Op-Eds | Jonathan Moyer

Meisel, C., Moyer, J., Burrows, M. J., & Petry, C. (2023, August 6). The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Is Boosting the Potential for U.S. Influence Abroad. https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/russian-invasion-ukraine-boosting-potential-us-influence-abroad

August 03, 2023

Why Many Nigeriens Want Russia in and the West Out

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C., & Szymanski-Burgos, A. (2023, December 2). Why Many Nigeriens Want Russia in and the West Out. Time Magazine. https://time.com/6301177/niger-african-support-russia/

August 02, 2023

The trouble with labeling China an ‘enemy’

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C., & McKee, K. (2023, August 2). The trouble with labeling China an 'enemy'. Time Magazine. https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4131578-the-trouble-with-labeling-china-an-enemy/

July 19, 2023

The Pentagon is the wrong agency to lead the new US deterrence strategy

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, C. (2023, July 19). The Pentagon is the wrong agency to lead the new US deterrence strategy. Defense One. https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2023/07/pentagon-wrong-agency-lead-new-us-deterrence-strategy/388676/

June 22, 2023

Multidecadal dynamics project slow 21st-century economic growth and income convergence

Journal Article | Matthew G. Burgess

By: Burgess, M.G., Langendorf, R.E., Moyer, J.D. et al. Multidecadal dynamics project slow 21st-century economic growth and income convergence. Commun Earth Environ 4, 220 (2023).

June 13, 2023

The US is losing the Global South: How to reverse course

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, Collin, Jonathan Moyer, and Mathew J. Burrows. 2023. “The US is losing the Global South: How to reverse course.” The Hill.

May 25, 2023

Spheres of Influence in the Coming Decades: Four Alternative Scenarios

Op-Eds | Collin Meisel

Full Citation: Meisel, Collin J., Caleb L. Petry, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Mathew Burrows. n.d. “Spheres of Influence in the Coming Decades: Four Alternative Scenarios.” Stimson.