The major components of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system are extensively documented in working papers, and documentation of any given component is updated at intervals to reflect additions and refinements as well as connections to other system components. Because of its evolving nature, it is important to note working paper numbers and dates when using and citing model documentation.
Meisel, Collin J., Caleb L. Petry, Jonathan D. Moyer, and Mathew Burrows. n.d. “Spheres of Influence in the Coming Decades: Four Alternative Scenarios.” Stimson.
In this commentary with the Modern War Institute at West Point, Collin makes a case for how and why material measures continue to offer an important guide to measuring power at the national level.
Collin's latest commentary in War on the Rocks was just published May 8, 2023. Meisel argues that focusing only on the deterrence failures in Ukraine at the expense of deterrence successes in Europe muddies conversations about deterrence and risks drawing
Verhagen, W., Meziere, M. E., Bohl, D. K., Howe, B., Moyer J. M. (2022). "Guinea-Bissau: Exploring Alternative Futures of Development. Report 2: The Cost of Not Going Green."
This journal article presents a new multidimensional measure of relative national capabilities and forecasts using the International Futures model across 29 alternative scenarios.