Third Party Publications

This section lists publications using or referring to the International Futures (IFs) modeling system that are authored solely by researchers and analysts not formally affiliated with the Pardee Institute. The types of publications of which we are aware include books and book chapters, dissertations, journal articles, reports, and, while not publications strictly speaking, conference presentations and working papers.

We are always interested in learning about and adding to this list other publications and presentations that have not yet come to our attention. Please do share any suggested additions with us at Pardee.Institute@du.edu.

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Pompeo Attempts US Reset in the Middle East

Article | Gary Grappo

On what was his biggest stage at the American University of Cairo, Pompeo delivered what may now be called the clearest statement yet of US policy in the Middle East.

Population Futures: Revisiting South Africa's National Development Plan 2030

Reports & Briefs

Go, A., Moyer, J.D., Rafa, M. and Schünemann, J. (2013). “Population Futures: Revisiting South Africa’s National Development Plan 2030.”

Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040

Reports & Briefs

Moyer, J. D., Neill, C. and Rafa, M. (2013). “Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040.”

Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years

Books & Book Chapters

Hillebrand, E. (2011). “Poverty, Growth, and Inequality over the Next 50 Years.” In Conforti, P. ed., Looking Ahead in World Agriculture: Perspectives to 2050. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 159-190.

Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa

Reports & Briefs

Cilliers, J., Schünemann, J., and Moyer, J.D. (2015). “Power and Influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa.”

Preparing for China's Rapid Rise and Decline

Article | Collin Meisel

China’s rapid transition toward a downward trajectory will pose a unique set of national security challenges for the United States that could prove even more difficult than those posed by China’s rise.

Prospects for Africa's 26 Fragile Countries

Reports & Briefs

Cilliers, J. and Sisk, T.D. (2013). “Prospects for Africa’s 26 Fragile Countries.”

Prospects for Children in 2022: A Global Outlook

Reports & Briefs

UNICEF. (2022). "Prospects for Children in 2022: A Global Outlook." Office of Global Insight and Policy, UNICEF.